Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.680943 14.557896 16.566334 18.869557 21.431807 24.188648 27.373023
2025-07-20 10.186849 12.735651 15.651869 19.212855 23.419909 28.207404 34.041479
2025-07-27 8.583521 11.460542 14.924287 19.355977 24.825714 31.303467 39.498117
2025-08-03 7.155455 10.132143 13.880842 18.875311 25.273702 33.109098 43.332490
2025-08-10 6.098025 9.109973 13.060211 18.515738 25.736151 34.836927 47.028169
2025-08-17 5.237056 8.229836 12.306844 18.127039 26.061578 36.324916 50.399033
2025-08-24 4.543455 7.492732 11.657177 17.788440 26.377823 37.753144 53.684560
2025-08-31 3.901085 6.750494 10.919086 17.243909 26.340105 38.660487 56.262988
2025-09-07 3.526969 6.368915 10.658051 17.337870 27.163466 40.728576 60.438174
2025-09-14 3.183106 5.994076 10.367261 17.351626 27.848601 42.605299 64.388056
2025-09-21 2.922538 5.724693 10.209426 17.540341 28.777061 44.835273 68.879644
2025-09-28 2.651038 5.405708 9.942537 17.533089 29.397040 46.627988 72.790842
2025-10-05 2.486859 5.260849 9.949929 17.961064 30.702261 49.474293 78.329570
2025-10-12 2.318593 5.090113 9.898614 18.285971 31.855955 52.130983 83.671284
2025-10-19 2.135335 4.870208 9.743117 18.423267 32.710727 54.358258 88.435775
2025-10-26 1.877907 4.476808 9.251301 17.961899 32.580610 55.079798 90.969727
2025-11-02 1.666904 4.149405 8.847280 17.616819 32.608634 56.025825 93.846929
2025-11-09 1.475750 3.838562 8.445436 17.243839 32.561919 56.838648 96.526365
2025-11-16 1.311570 3.563921 8.086605 16.918980 32.570149 57.723485 99.324066
2025-11-23 1.143304 3.257063 7.637456 16.396639 32.209026 57.994792 101.158574
2025-11-30 1.056684 3.126697 7.525441 16.486763 32.900693 59.972590 105.713929
2025-12-07 0.970292 2.985465 7.378892 16.499958 33.452399 61.731568 109.959085
2025-12-14 0.906685 2.892013 7.323032 16.680977 34.304170 64.002828 115.073419